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Real-time forecasting US GDP from small-scale factor models
Camacho, Maximo; Martínez-Martín, Jaime - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789252
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Monthly forecasting of GDP with mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analysis
Hassani, Hossein; Rua, António; Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal; … - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 4, pp. 1263-1272
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305274
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Nowcasting GDP with a pool of factor models and a fast estimation algorithm
Eraslan, Sercan; Schröder, Maximilian - In: International journal of forecasting 39 (2023) 3, pp. 1460-1476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465295
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Macroeconomic forecasting and business cycle analysis with nonlinear models
Heinrich, Markus - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012624946
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Forecast errors and the macroeconomy : a non-linear relationship?
Fritsche, Ulrich; Döpke, Jörg - 2006 - This version: February 2006
observations from 1963 to 2004. We rely on forecasts from the joint forecast of the so-called "six leading" forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426366
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Probit based time series models in recession forecasting : a survey with an empirical illustration for Finland
Nissilä, Wilma - 2020
This article surveys both earlier and recent research on recession forecasting with probit based time series models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271706
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Real-time US GDP gap properties using Hamilton’s regression-based filter
Jönsson, Kristian - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 59 (2020) 1, pp. 307-314
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012253213
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Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations
Kaufmann, Daniel; Scheufele, Rolf - 2015
encouraging. In a pseudo out-of-sample exercise, our approach beats relevant benchmarks for forecasting CPI inflation and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508347
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Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015
business-cycle state in the target year with quarterly information about its state in the forecasting period, we find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869
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Forecasting key US macroeconomic variables with a factor‐augmented Qual VAR
Gupta, Rangan; Olson, Eric; Wohar, Mark E. - In: Journal of forecasting 36 (2017) 6, pp. 640-650
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011861401