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within a FAVAR framework, we find that shocks to forward guidance are more important than the FOMC communication of current … economic conditions in terms of their effects on market and real variables. Nonetheless, neither communication has particularly …
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This paper provides an empirical assessment of the power of forward guidance at different horizons, shedding new light on the strength of the "forward guidance puzzle". Our identification strategy allows us to disentangle the change in future interest rates stemming from deviations from the...
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