This paper analyzes the feedback between firms' hiring decisions and the demand for their products in an environment in which agents are poorly insulated from the financial consequences of unemployment. In such an environment, an increase in the risk of remaining unemployed for a long time...

This paper develops a framework with a standard labor market matching friction and a friction in commodities markets which leads to firms not always selling everything being produced and thus to inventory accumulation. A savings glut can lead to a downward spiral in which reductions in consumer...

Changes in the stock of inventories are important for fluctuations in aggregate output. However, the possibility that firms do not sell all produced goods and inventory accumulation are typically ignored in business cycle models. This paper captures this with a goods-market friction. Using US...

Financial innovation is widely believed to be at least partly responsible for the recent financial crisis. At the same time, there are empirical and theoretical arguments that support the view that changes in financial markets played a role in the "great moderation". If both are true, then the...

Several papers that make forecasts about the long-term impact of the current financial crisis rely on models in which there is only one type of financial crisis. These models tend to predict that the current crisis will have long lasting negative effects on economic growth. This paper points out...

Fluctuations in firms' revenues reduce firms' viability and are costly from a social welfare point of view even when agents are risk neutral if (i) the decision to continue operating a firm is not efficient at the margin so that fluctuations shorten firms' life expectancy (because they increase...

This paper compares numerical solutions to the model of Krusell and Smith (1998) generated by different numerical algorithms. The algorithms have very similar implications for the correlations between different variables. Larger differences are observed for (i) the unconditional means and...

This Paper compares the responses of bank loan components to a monetary tightening with the responses to negative output shocks. Real estate and consumer loans sharply decrease during a monetary tightening but not after a negative output shock. In contrast, C&I loans (and commercial paper)...

A robust finding for both small and large banks is that in response to a monetary tightening, real estate and consumer loans decrease while C&I loans increase. We also show that in a standard log-linear VAR the impulse response function of an aggregate variable is time varying. The finding that...

This paper documents that debt and equity issuance are procyclical for most size-sorted firm categories of listed U.S. firms. The procyclicality of equity issuance decreases monotonically with firm size. At the aggregate level, however, the results are not conclusive. The reason is that issuance...