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Forecasting growth during the Great Recession : is financial volatility the missing ingredient?

Ferrara, Laurent; Marsilli, Clément; Ortega, Juan-Pablo - In: Economic modelling 36 (2014), pp. 44-50

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412035

The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy

Wieland, Volker; Wolters, Maik H. - In: Economic theory : official journal of the Society for … 47 (2011) 2/3, pp. 247-292

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009126610

Forecasting regional growth in Germany : a panel approach using business survey data

Wenzel, Lars - 2013 - Updated version: January 2013

This paper is a first attempt to construct quantitative forecasts for regional growth in Germany using business survey data (BSD) from the German chambers of commerce. A panel approach is used to model the growth rates of the Bundesländer from the year 2000 onwards. The proposed model does well...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009680261

The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession

Heinisch, Katja; Scheufele, Rolf - In: International journal of forecasting 28 (2012) 2, pp. 428-445

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582565

Recession forecasting with time-varying predictors

Hwang, Youngjin - In: Korea and the world economy 16 (2015) 3, pp. 379-417

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450873

An overview of forecasting facing breaks

Castle, Jennifer; Clements, Michael P.; Hendry, David F. - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451503

Using financial indicators to predict turning points in the business cycle : the case of the leading economic index for the United States

Levanon, Gad; Manini, Jean-Claude; Ozyildirim, Ataman; … - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 2, pp. 399-425

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474152

Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession : the return of non-linearity?

Ferrara, Laurent; Marcellino, Massimiliano; Mogliani, Matteo - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 664-679

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474466

Fiscal procyclicality and output forecast errors

Avellan, Leopoldo; Vuletin, Guillermo - In: Journal of international money and finance 55 (2015), pp. 193-204

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475568

Monitoring the world business cycle

Camacho, Maximo; Martínez-Martín, Jaime - In: Economic modelling 51 (2015), pp. 617-625

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476196