We extend the Cole and Obstfeld model in a number of directions to more accurately assess the terms of trade channel. Two crucial theoretical extensions are: to allow multiple producers of each primary commodity and to allow for incomplete specialization.We find that the negative correlation...

This paper proposes a new measure of tail risk spillover, namely the conditional coexceedance which is the number of joint occurrences of extreme negative returns in an industry conditional on an extreme negative return in the financial sector. The empirical application provides evidence of...

Recent research has identified several industry-related patterns that standard asset pricing models cannot explain effectively. This paper investigates whether industry commodity dependence affects the cross section of stock returns, using the case of oil industry. The results show that in the...

We hypothesize and find empirical evidence that two structural constraints of the industry are informative in the corporate failure prediction, industry concentration and dependence on customers and suppliers. Using an extensive database on corporate failures and bankruptcies in U.S. market from...