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A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
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mutual information is estimated using the correlation integral from chaos theory. The signi[tanceof the test statistics is …
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asymptotically valid for serially independent observations. Yet, in the presence of serial correlation they are markedly oversized as … confirmed in a simulation study. We summarize serial correlation robust test procedures and propose a bootstrap approach. By … relevance to account for serial correlation in economic time series when testing for the value of directional forecasts …
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