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We develop a model of an order-driven exchange competing for order flow with off-exchange trading mechanisms. Liquidity … additional trade demand. We show, in equilibrium, hiding trade intentions can induce mis-coordination between liquidity supply … in prices and order flow after periods of high excess-supply of hidden liquidity. …
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We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
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