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Meese and Rogoff (1983) and subsequent studies find that economic fundamentals are apparently not able to explain exchange rate movements, but we argue that this so-called "Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle" arose because researchers such as Meese and Rogoff (1983) did not use the right...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502367
Asset price data imply a large degree of international risk sharing, while aggregate consumption data do not. We evaluate whether a model with trade in goods and endogenously segmented asset markets accounts for this puzzling discrepancy. Active households pay a fixed cost to transfer income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011763742
null from the naïve random walk theory is that they do not: if they would be unit roots with positive drifts they would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973058
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows current asset returns to be asymmetric conditional on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047692
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows current asset returns to be asymmetric conditional on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009309462
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715968
between the variables. The evidence reveals that there is a strong long-run cointegration. The robustness of the ARDL bounds … test cointegration was confirmed using the newly-developed combined cointegration, which also provided the same evidence … for a strong long-run relationship. The Granger causality test results indicate a long-run bidirectional causality between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649295
Although the literature on purchasing power parity (PPP) is rich in controversy, the relative contribution of prices and nominal exchange rates to real exchange rate movements which restore PPP disequilibria has rarely been put under any close scrutiny. Using monthly data from 1973:01 to 2009:12...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122023
; cointegration ; nonlinear vector error correction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580305
the causality mainly runs from effective exchange rates to current accounts and occurs through valuation e ects. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010483886