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In this paper a new method of constructing the leading economic index is presented. Its main advantage is the ability to distinguish domestic and foreign factors influencing the growth of economy and it is performed via dynamic hierarchical factor modelling. An application is carried out with...
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policy analysis and forecasting. NEMO has been used to identify the sources of business cycle fluctuations in Norway, to … been re-calibrated and re-estimated to reflect economic conditions since the introduction of inflation targeting in 2001 … historical shock and forecast-error-variance decompositions, and assessing its forecasting performance against a suite of …
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