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In this paper, I examine the forecasting performance of a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model with steady … period 2016q1-2020q1. My findings suggest that inflation forecasts produced by the BVAR model are more accurate than those of … the QPM model two quarters ahead and are competitive for the longer horizon. For GDP growth, the forecasts of the BVAR …
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We study the transmission of monetary shocks and monetary policy with a behavioral model, corrected for potential misspecification using the DSGE-VAR framework elaborated by DelNegro and Schorfheide (2004). In particular, we investigate if the central bank should react to movements in the...
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