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commodity price uncertainties are proven to be leading indicators of uncertainty rather than volatility in commodity markets. In …
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calm economic environment, the estimation accuracy is higher (1.5% vs. 4%), and that the AI-based estimation methods …
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Fat-tailed commodity price innovations are well-documented in the literature and long recognized as disruptive for consumers and producers, yet little is known about what factors drive such extreme events. Utilizing a wide range of factors from the economics and finance literature and quantile...
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The large inflow of investment capital to commodity futures markets in the past decade has generated a heated debate about whether financialization distorts commodity prices. Rather than focusing on the opposing views concerning whether investment flows caused a price bubble, we critically...
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