This paper reviews various recent approaches to cointegration analysis of seasonal time series. In addition to the usual decisions concerning data transformations and univariate time series properties, it is necessary to decide how seasonal variation is included in the multivariate model and how...

DAMGARCH extends the VARMA-GARCH model of Ling and McAleer (2003) by introducing multiple thresholds and time-dependent structure in the asymmetry of the conditional variances. DAMGARCH models the shocks affecting the conditional variances on the basis of an underlying multivariate distribution....

International tourism is a major source of export receipts for many countries worldwide. Although it is not yet one of the most important industries in Taiwan (or the Republic of China), an island in East Asia off the coast of mainland China (or the People's Republic of China), the leading...

This paper examines the inclusion of the dollar/euro exchange rate together with important commodities in two different BEKK, or multivariate conditional covariance, models. Such inclusion increases the significant direct and indirect past shock and volatility effects on future volatility...

This note seeks to clarify whether applications of Cox's (1961) modified likelihood ratio principle logically require a two- or one-tailed test. Logic requires the test of discrimination be one-tailed and the significance test for non-nested hypotheses be two-tailed. The significance test of a...

This paper attempts to synthesize various procedures for testing non-nested hypotheses within the framework of artificial nesting, and establishes the result that different tests correspond to different treatments of its identification problem. Numerical and a priori identification methods are...

Within the framework of linear regression, errors arising from artificial inclusion or exclusion of variables are considered with augmentations or restrictions on a given maintained hypothesis. This permits exploitation of relations between tests based on Wald and Lagrange Multiplier Principles....