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Recent theoretical developments in exchange rate economics have led to important new insights into the functioning of the foreign exchange market. The simple models of the 1970s, which could not withstand empirical evaluation, have been succeeded by more complex models that draw on theoretical...
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post-Bretton Woods US dollar-pound sterling exchange rate and show that the excess volatility of the exchange rate return …
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This paper provides an empirical test of the scapegoat theory of exchange rates (Bacchetta and van Wincoop 2004, 2011), as an attempt to evaluate its potential for explaining the poor empirical performance of traditional exchange rate models. This theory suggests that market participants may at...
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This paper presents a method to test the volatility predictions of the textbook asset-pricing exchange rate model … builds on existing tests of excess volatility in asset prices, combining them with a procedure that extracts unobservable … 1984 and find broad evidence of excess exchange rate volatility with respect to the predictions of the canonical asset …
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