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This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328680
Knowledge about rig markets is crucial for understanding the global oil market. In this paper we first develop a simple bargaining model for rig markets. Then we examine empirically the most important drivers for rig rate formation of floaters operating at the Norwegian Continental Shelf in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968602
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765836
This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189497
This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by us- ing the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to ex- plain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860537
a major PJM market hub -- the Dominion Hub in Virginia, U.S. The forecasting performance of four multivariate models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727912
This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678658
and Vector ARX models) and indirectly (via factor models). The forecasting performance of five econometric models is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010775410
This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708762
forecasting performance of econometric models incorporating asymmetric price transmission from crude oil to gasoline. In this … sign and probability forecasts. Finally, we highlight that the forecasting performance of the estimated models is time-varying. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011115916