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attention is given to national data by market analysts when they try to anticipate monetary policy moves. In this paper we use … the Generalized Dynamic Factor model to develop a set of core inflation indicators that, combining national data with area … whether in order to track ECB monetary policy decisions it is useful to take into account national information and not only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604946
limited attention from the academic literature analysing fiscal forecasting in Europe. Some recent literature suggests the … data with annual general government series (National Accounts). By doing so, we are able to maintain the focus on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604947
In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic effects of alternative fiscal consolidation policies in the New Area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604948
We propose a new core inflation measure for the Euro area which places the emphasis on the more lasting, i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604951
This paper investigates whether comovements between euro area equity returns at national and industry level have … degree of comovements among euro area national equity markets has augmented. By explicitly controlling for the impact of … on an industry breakdown suggests that the increase in national index comovements is mainly driven by financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604952
In this paper, we utilise the multi-country version of the NAWM to analyse the impact of globalisation on euro area macroeconomic aggregates. We provide alternative model-based definitions of globalisation associated with an increase in potential output in emerging Asia and its impact on total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604953
We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF specific panel unit root test to investigate the meanreverting behaviour of general government expenditure and revenue ratios. Secondly, we apply the bootstrap panel cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604954
This paper applies regression analysis to investigate the fundamental factors of the variation of CDS index tranches. The sample comprises daily data on the tranche premia of the European iTraxx and North American CDX index from the start of the market in summer 2004 to January 2008. I estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604956
imbalances, the United States and emerging Asia, using sign restrictions that are compatible with standard New Keynesian and Real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604957
This paper studies the role of wage moderation and labour and product market regulation for employment creation. To this end, labour demand estimates are presented for the five largest euro area countries at the aggregate level and for three macro sectors: manufacturing, construction and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604958