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This paper examines several specification errors in the M2-based P* model and develops an M1-based estimate of this model. The apparent statistical significance of M2 is shown to arise from a spurious regression that uses a non-stationary regressor and because the significance test for M2 is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012733108
There is a broad consensus among economists that, in the long run, inflation is a monetaryUnter Ökonomen besteht ein … breiter Konsensus dahingehend, dass Inflation auf lange Sicht …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991269
-difference version is not so suspect. While evidence is found of a long-run relationship between Austria inflation and money growth, even … also rejected, but there is a statistically significant long-run relationship between Austrian and German inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014056609
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003339181
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008825914
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009307440
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250269
The past years were characterized by unprecedented rises in prices of commodities such as oil or wheat and inflation … indicate future CPI inflation and if they can be used as indicator variables for central banks or not. We apply various … strong link between commodity prices and CPI inflation in the 1970s and the beginning of the 1980s. For a more recent sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008933736
quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error …Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the … inflation. The response of the HICP is strongly positive. Other factors such as raw material prices and unit labor costs also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477146
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