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investment-specific technology shock, affects the transformation of consumption into investment goods and is identified with the … relative price of investment. The second shock affects the production of installed capital from investment goods or, more … broadly, the transformation of savings into future capital input. We find that this shock is the most important driver of U …
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This paper develops two models, one involving risk neutrality and the other risk aversion, which suggest that inflation … evidence supports the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty affects interest rates. Interpreted in terms of the risk neutral … positive impact on the expected real rate. If the results are interpreted in terms of the risk averse model, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478202
by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging in ation … expected and unexpected in ation shocks embedded in sovereign bond yields; and provides estimates of the real risk-free rate … recent years, a low real risk-free rate, as well as low levels of compensation for both expected and unexpected in ation. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
-based ex-post measures of macroeconomic risk. Inflation uncertainty is an important driver of bond premia, but the relation …This paper examines the relation between variations in perceived inflation uncertainty and bond premia. Using the … average individual uncertainty about inflation forecasts since 1968. We show that this ex-ante measure of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441139
This paper develops two models, one involving risk neutrality and the other risk aversion, which suggest that inflation … evidence supports the hypothesis that inflation uncertainty affects interest rates. Interpreted in terms of the risk neutral … positive impact on the expected real rate. If the results are interpreted in terms of the risk averse model, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310253
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