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This paper explores the world business cycle using unfiltered data from 1870 and looks for a theory that could account … for the long wave commodity cycle in the world economy. We build a simple DSGE model that includes a long time …
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This paper studies the role of differences in the patterns of production and international trade on the business cycle …
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We propose a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to analyze the relationship between global factors and country-specific capital flow dynamics. Studying a global sample of 43 countries from 1994 until 2015, we show that global co-movement of macroeconomic,...
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This paper aims to achieve two objectives. First, we demonstrate that with respect to business cycle frequency (Burns and Mitchell, 1946), there was a general decrease in the association between macroeconomic variables (MV) and housing market variables (HMV) following the global financial crisis...
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