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Although the economic boom in Germany is over, a recession is not looming. The economy is still expected to grow by 1.0 percent this year despite its recent weaker performance. Consumption remains a mainstay of the economy; the average annual increase in the number of employees is likely to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993699
The current global economic environment remains harsh. Global growth rates stagnated in the fourth quarter of 2018, particularly affected by foreign trade. DIW Berlin's forecast indicates global economic growth of 3.7 percent for 2019 and 3.6 percent for 2020. Positive stimuli are expected from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993700
After a turbulent summer, marked by a weak second and a likely stronger third quarter, the German economy should return to an average pace of growth and end up with a growth rate of 0.9 percent in 2019. Despite the more subdued pace, capacity utilization remains high; employment growth is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012027318
The global economy is holding steady amidst uncertainty, although subdued export and investment growth in some places is already proving the extent to which protectionism and the unresolved trade conflicts are negatively affecting the economy. Contributing to the uncertainty is the continued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012027319
The global expansion weakened somewhat in the third quarter while the downside risks have increased. DIW Berlin's forecast- almost unchanged-indicates an expansion in global economic production of 4.3 percent for 2018 and 3.9 percent for 2019. In 2020, momentum will slow down further to 3.6...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011947189
The German economy continues to perform well although the boom has ended. However, at 1.5 percent, German GDP will increase this year at a lower rate than expected at the beginning of the year. Nevertheless, concerns about an imminent recession should give way to the assessment that the pace of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011947190
Die Jahre des überdurchschnittlichen Wachstums der deutschen Wirtschaft sind vorbei - unter dem Strich steht sie aber weiterhin nicht schlecht da. Zwar wird das hiesige Bruttoinlandsprodukt in diesem Jahr mit 1,5 Prozent deutlich weniger zunehmen als noch zu Jahresbeginn erwartet. Sorgen vor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011947368
Im dritten Quartal hat sich der globale Aufschwung etwas abgeschwächt, während die Abwärtsrisiken bis zuletzt zugenommen haben. Das DIW Berlin prognostiziert - nahezu unverändert - eine Expansion der weltwirtschaftlichen Produktion in Höhe von 4,3 Prozent für das Jahr 2018 und von 3,9...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011947369
The spread of the coronavirus worldwide is exerting considerable pressure on the economy. Compounded by the lack of quality data, model uncertainty, and uncertainty over government responses, economic forecasts are subject to even greater uncertainty than usual. It is difficult to predict how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233318
The consequences of the ongoing 2020 coronavirus pandemic are leaving deep marks on the global economy. In the first quarter of 2020, global production sank by 15.5 percent over the course of the worldwide lockdown. Since containment measures in many countries were mainly implemented during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012255140