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if the sum of contributions meets or exceeds a threshold. I analyze several Bayesian Nash equilibria in this game and …
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We investigate the relevance of aggregate and consumer-specific income uncertainty for aggregate consumption changes in the US over the period 1952-2001. Theoretically, the effect of income risk on consumption changes is decomposed into an aggregate and into a consumer-specific part....
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on the short run dynamics with a resulting prior which only depends on a few hyperparameters and is therefore easily …
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This paper tests the usefulness of time-varying parameters when forecasting with mixed-frequency data. For this we compare the forecast performance of bridge equations and unrestriced MIDAS models with constant and time-varying parameters. An out-of-sample forecasting exercise with US real-time...
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