We study return predictability using a model of speculative trading among relatively overconfident competitive traders who agree to disagree about the precision of their private information. Although traders apply Bayes Law consistently, returns are predictable. In addition to trading on...

We document the market response to an unexpected announcement of proposed sales of government-owned shares in China. In contrast to the quot;privatization premiumquot; found in earlier work, we find a negative effect of government ownership on returns at the announcement date and a symmetric...

In 2007, the United States Department of Commerce altered a 23-year old policy of not applying the countervailing duty law to non-market economies, and initiated eight countervailing and antidumping duty investigations on Chinese imports. The change brings heated debate on trade remedy policies...

The process of development is full of uncertainties, especially if it is a process of transition from a planned economy to a market oriented one. Because of uncertainties and country specificity, development must be a process of learning, selective adaptation, and industrial upgrading. This...