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, information transmission through changes in the interest rate creates a distortion, thus, lending an amount of credibility. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963765
We reconsider the role of an inflation conservative central banker in a setting with distortionary taxation. To do so, we assume monetary and fiscal policy are decided by independent authorities that do not abide to past commitments. If the two authorities make policy decisions simultaneously,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202952
We define and study transparency, credibility, and reputation in a model where the central bank's characteristics are … unobservable to the private sector and are inferred from the policy outcome. A low-credibility bank optimally conducts a more … expansionary policy than a high-credibility bank, in the sense that it induces higher inflation, but a less expansionary policy in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010128043
bankers to undertake larger interest rate steps (ceteris paribus). -- Inflation expectations ; credibility ; reaction function … stylized New Keynesian model in which agents' inflation expectations are sensitive to inflation deviations from target. To (re …-)establish credibility, optimal monetary policy under discretion is shown to set higher interest rates today if average inflation exceeded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009564263
potentially faster-expectations convergence than with a fixed target. The randomized target achieves faster convergence in …; asymmetric information; Bayesian rational expectations; commitment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003715536
This paper discusses reputational risk in the context of central banking and explains why it matters to central banks. It begins with a general discussion of reputational risk within the broader framework of risk management. It then outlines how central banks define, measure, monitor and manage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384150
stabilize the economy through expectations. The endogenous nature of credibility also brings novel results relative to models … central bank with such discretion undermines the credibility of the price-level target and weakens its effectiveness to … with exogenous timing of target resets. A much higher degree of credibility is needed to realize the stabilization benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946949
. Together, these factors have helped anchor inflation expectations around a credible target. This anchoring has in turn made it … well-anchored inflation expectations leave monetary policy with greater flexibility to consider its impacts on output and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011952083
circumstances and contingencies. In this broader sense, longer-term predictability is also closely related to the credibility of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641200
Modern monetary policy focuses on credibility and shaping consumers' inflation expectations. According to the concept …-making process and may be a specific intermediate target. The aim of the study is to analyse the credibility of inflation forecasts … credibility index. The inflation forecasts' credibility index may be calculated for all types of inflation forecasts made by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011802291