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Survey data on inflation expectations show that: (i) private sector forecasts and central bank forecasts are not fully … aligned and (ii) private sector forecasters disagree about inflation expectations. To reconcile these two facts we introduce … dispersed information in a New Keynesian model, where as a result, inflation expectations differ between the private sector and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981897
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, can heighten the risk of inflation expectations de-anchoring from the central bank objective. The purpose of this paper is … expectations, have incomplete information about the working of the economy and form expectations through an adaptive learning … expectations and of learning. The main findings are the followings: (i) under learning, price dynamics in 2015-16 is on average 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024846
Survey of Professional Forecasters as a measure of price setters' inflation expectations. This model improves upon existing … perfect information models in explaining why, in the data, inflation expectations respond with delays to monetary impulses and …, explaining why inflation and inflation expectations were so persistently heightened. The signaling effects of monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011559878
if households pay limited attention to different consumption categories when forming inflation expectations. This result … stands in contrast to standard rational expectations models, where optimal policy targets core inflation. The core inflation … expectations for disaggregated consumption categories, I find household expectations are disproportionately driven by beliefs about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284065
The effectiveness of monetary policy depends, to a large extent, on market expectations of its future actions. In a … standard New Keynesian business-cycle model with rational expectations, systematic monetary policy reduces the variance of … inflation and the output gap by at least two-thirds. These stabilization benefits can be substantially smaller if expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257948
The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation … rate rules when agents have heterogeneous expectations and update their beliefs based on past performance as in Brock and …, but does not always lead the system to converge to the rational expectations equilibrium as multiple equilibria may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117071
Survey data on inflation expectations show that: (i) private sector forecasts and central bank forecasts are not fully … aligned and (ii) private sector forecasters disagree about inflation expectations. To reconcile these two facts we introduce … dispersed information in a New Keynesian model, where as a result, inflation expectations differ between the private sector and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520661
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012116526
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011817478