This paper derives an equilibrium capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in a market where asset prices can exhibit price jumps and price bubbles. We derive a generalized intertertemporal CAPM and consumption CAPM for these markets. The derived risk return relation differs from the classical results...

This paper derives an equilibrium capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in a market with trading constraints and asset price bubbles. The asset price processes are general semimartingales including Markov jump-diffusion processes as special cases, and the trading constraints considered include...

We propose an Economic Stability Index (ESI) incorporating house prices and stock prices as components of the measure of the inflation rate in order to allow the European Central Bank (ECB) to achieve both price and macroeconomic stability. We use an optimisation approach to estimate target...

We develop a dynamic model of belief dispersion with a continuum of investors differing in beliefs. The model is tractable and qualitatively matches many of the empirical regularities in a stock price, its mean return, volatility, and trading volume. We find that the stock price is convex in...

This article is a prologue to the article "Why Markets are Inefficient: A Gambling 'Theory' of Financial Markets for Practitioners an Theorists", available here: 'http://ssrn.com/abstract=2925532' http://ssrn.com/abstract=2925532. It presents important background for that article - why gambling...

This paper provides a new explanation for closed-end fund (CEF) discounts and premiums using the local martingale theory of asset price bubbles. This is a rational asset pricing model that is shown to be consistent with the existing empirical evidence on CEF discounts/premiums. Additional...

The purpose of this article is to propose a new “theory,” the Strategic Analysis of Financial Markets (SAFM) theory, that explains the operation of financial markets using the analytical perspective of an enlightened gambler. The gambler understands that all opportunities for superior...

We show that cross-border financial flows arise when countries differ in their abilities to use assets as collateral. Financial integration is a way of sharing scarce collateral. The ability of one country to leverage and tranche assets provides attractive financial contracts to investors in the...

This paper develops a tractable asset pricing framework based on an Arrow Debreu economy with heterogeneous agents. The assumption of heterogeneity recasts the market rather than aggregate consumption as the key element for pricing securities. The model expresses some asset pricing relationships...