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Trends and cycles in macro series : the case of US real GDP

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2017

trends and stochastic cycles in addition to deterministic terms such as linear and non-linear trends. We examine four US … be captured accurately by a model incorporating both stochastic trends and stochastic cycles that allows for some degree … cyclical component is stationary, with cycles repeating themselves every 6-10 years. …

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Trends and cycles in macro series : the case of US real GDP

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2017

trends and stochastic cycles in addition to deterministic terms such as linear and non-linear trends. We examine four US … be captured accurately by a model incorporating both stochastic trends and stochastic cycles that allows for somedegree … cyclical component is stationary, with cycles repeating themselves every 6-10 years. …

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Expectations formation and business cycle fluctuations : an empirical analysis of actual and expected output in UK manufacturing, 1975 - 1996

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