We estimate the relative contribution of recursive preferences versus adaptive learning in accounting for the tail thickness of price–dividends/rents ratios. We find that both of these sources of volatility account for volatility in liquid (stocks) but not illiquid (housing) assets.

Methodologies for analyzing the forces that move and shape national economies have advanced markedly in the last thirty years, enabling economists as never before to unite theoretical and empirical research and align measurement with theory. In <i>Structural Macroeconometrics</i>, David DeJong and...