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We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing additional insights on both first and higher moments of the GDP growth distribution. If a recession is due to an unforeseen shock (such as the Covid-19 recession), financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829414
We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing additional insights on both first and higher moments of the GDP growth distribution. If a recession is due to an unforeseen shock (such as the Covid-19 recession), financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241245
macroeconomic models by i) incorporating financial frictions, ii) relaxing the requirement of rational expectations, and iii …, moreover, incorporates many features considered essential for future policy models, such as a financial accelerator with debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233385
for each of the states, both in competitive equilibrium and under optimal containment policy adoption, and analyzed the … implications of optimal policy adoption. We concluded that the intrinsic characteristics of the five different states could imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162400
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311118
The coronavirus pandemic caused a global market crash in the first half of 2020. Following a massive slump of around …, together with far-reaching monetary and fiscal policy measures to dampen the economic impact of the pandemic, ensure that … production and the trust of consumers and firms will slowly return. Notably, China’s quick economic recovery is inspiring hope …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291931
official activity indicators both for the entire sample of firms and the industrial sector. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472239
This paper studies the determinants of firms' business outlook and managerial mitigation strategies in the wake of the … COVID-19 crisis using a representative panel of German firms. We first demonstrate that the crisis amplifies pre …-crisis weaknesses: Firms that appear relatively weak before the crisis are harder hit initially, and, on top of the initial impact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833757
This paper studies the determinants of firms' business outlook and managerial mitigation strategies in the wake of the … COVID-19 crisis using a representative panel of German firms. We first demonstrate that the crisis amplifies pre …-crisis weaknesses: Firms that appear relatively weak before the crisis are harder hit initially, and, on top of the initial impact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833870
Drawing on data from the firm-level Survey of Business Uncertainty, we present three pieces of evidence that COVID-19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416304