We show that the trend of the one-sided HP filter can be asymptotically approximated by the Holt-Winters (HW) filter. The later is an elegant, moving average representation and facilitates the computation of trends tremendously. We confirm the accuracy of this approximation empirically by...

We show that the trend of the one-sided HP filter can be asymptotically approximated by the Holt-Winters (HW) filter. The later is an elegant, moving average representation and facilitates the computation of trends tremendously. We confirm the accuracy of this approximation empirically by...

Few, if any, of the macro stress tests undertaken before the current crisis uncovered significant vulnerabilities. This article examines the reasons for the poor performance by comparing the outcomes of simple stress tests with actual events for a large sample of historical banking crises. The...

An incomplete manuscript on Statistics for economists.

Nelson and Siegel (1987) propose a parametric model for the yield curve. Since it is easy to estimate, it became popular among practitioners and Central Bank’s analysts. Diebold and Li (2006) provide a dynamic version of the Nelson-Siegel (DNS) model, showing that it performs well in outof-...

Based on a new dataset obtained from survey data, we study household debt default behavior in Chile. Previous research in this area suggests financial and personal variables that can help estimate individual and group probabilities of default. We study mortgage and consumer default separately,...

In the survey analysis, the missing data problem can be managed by using Multiple Imputation (MI) methods. In this paper we show the empirical application of MI methods to the financial variables included in Chile’s Social Protection Survey 2004. Based on