Chahrour, Ryan; Chugh, Sanjay K.; Potter, Tristan - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 14 (2023) 3, pp. 897-934
We identify the main shock driving fluctuations in long‐horizon productivity expectations, consistent with theories of … TFP news. The identified shock induces strong comovement patterns in output, consumption, investment, employment, and … news shock. The model also matches the empirical patterns of vacancies, labor force participation, hours, and job …