experts’ estimates of the costs of future energy technologies. We harmonize data from 19 elicitations, involving 215 experts … that, on average, when experts respond to elicitations in person, they ascribe lower confidence (larger uncertainty) to …-and geography-US or EU-are also significant; academics and US experts have lower confidence than other types of experts. Higher R …

Consider an environment where long-lived experts repeatedly interact with short-lived customers. In periods when an … appropriate. We find that there exists an equilibrium in which experts always play truthfully and choose the customer's preferred … with high probability if the previous treatment was minor, and low probability if it was major. If experts have private …