Given the absence of a formal forecasting model of property insurance surtax revenue for the state of Kentucky, this paper presents the insample and out-of-sample forecasts of four models: Holt linear trend algorithm, autoregressive model, linear trend/autoregressive model, and economic activity...

The rational expectations‐permanent income hypothesis (REPIH) is nothing new. The initial REPIH of Hall (1978) suggested that no other variable observed in earlier periods, given the inclusion of consumption lagged one period, should have any explanatory power for current consumption (Hall,...

This paper examined the cointegrating properties of narrow money demand. Results suggest income and interest rate are sufficient for the formulation of a long‐run stable demand for money in Australia, Austria, Finland, Italy, UK, and US. However, for Canada, Germany, and Switzerland, the...