Exponential growth bias (EGB) is the pervasive tendency of people to perceive a growth process as linear when, in fact … positive cases in the future. The bias is positively correlated with optimistic expectations about the future macroeconomic … to Baseline, b) Feedback-N, Feedback-G, and Forecast significantly reduce bias relative to both Baseline and Step, c) the …

Exponential growth bias (EGB) is the pervasive tendency of people to perceive a growth process as linear when, in fact … positive cases in the future. The bias is positively correlated with optimistic expectations about the future macroeconomic … to Baseline, b) Feedback- N, Feedback-G, and Forecast significantly reduce bias relative to both Baseline and Step, c …

Exponential growth bias (EGB) is the pervasive tendency of people to perceive a growth process as linear when, in fact … positive cases in the future. The bias is positively correlated with optimistic expectations about the future macroeconomic … to Baseline, b) Feedback-N, Feedback-G, and Forecast significantly reduce bias relative to both Baseline and Step, c) the …

more likely to prefer pessimistic articles, which we interpret as evidence of confirmation bias. In line with this …

-growth prediction bias (EGPB) in understanding why the COVID-19 outbreak has exploded. The scientific basis for our inquiry is the … positive cases can explode into a widespread pandemic if the disease is sufficiently transmittable. We define prediction bias … path. The bias is significantly higher for respondents from countries at a later stage relative to those at an early stage …