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assets. Building on this idea, we propose the use of a highly flexible and tractable model to forecast the volatility of an …
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monthly volatility variables, the corresponding volatility factors, and a speculation variable. In addition, the time …-of-sample forecasts. Furthermore, the speculation variable displays strong predictability for forecasting the realized volatility of …
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Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic … empirical insights to emerge from this burgeoning literature, with a distinct focus on forecasting applications. Volatility is … inherently latent, and Section 1 begins with a brief intuitive account of various key volatility concepts. Section 2 then …
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