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We analyze the medical decision-making process, first from the perspective of a patient and then from the perspective of a health care provider. Using a decision-tree, we describe the different actions a mother can take to treat her daughter, who she suspects has otitis media — an ear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915112
.e. overreact), their forecast revisions are too intense, and the converse occurs when they underreact. As a proxy for uncertainty … sample using analyst forecast dispersion as a proxy for uncertainty and obtain similar results. We also document the fact …This article examines the link between uncertainty and analysts' reaction to earnings announcements for a sample of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059109
-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach …We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil …, estimation of time-varying forecast biases and facets of miscalibration of individual forecast densities and time-varying inter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223434
outline a novel model that considers the non-linear relationship between inattentiveness and aggregate uncertainty, which … crucially distinguishes between macro-economic and data ( measurement error) uncertainty. The empirical analysis uses the Survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013178028
-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach …We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil …, estimation of time-varying forecast biases and facets of miscalibration of individual forecast densities and time-varying inter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013305837
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514959
analytical insights and other findings concerning ‘(un)certainty’ to decision-maker end-users; and mitigating risk. It also …Generating Cyber Intelligence (CYBINT) scenarios & solutions to address uncertainty for decision-advantage: Using … -- More than Semantics? Communication of (Un)certainty via ‘Estimative/Probabilistic Language’ -- Estimative …
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