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A hypothesis of uncertain future was created and first applied in the field of utility and prospect theories. An extension of application of the hypothesis to the field of forecasting is considered in the article. The concept of inevitability of unforeseen events is a part of the hypothesis of...
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(y|x=k, w=j). It is common to have a trustworthy evidence‐based risk assessment that predicts y conditional on a subset of the … conditional on covariates that are not utilized in evidence‐based risk assessments. I argue that formalizing clinical judgment … through analysis of the identification problem can improve risk assessments and care decisions. …
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