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effect of a change in parameters when agents' beliefs are held constant, and a multiplier effect, which captures the role of … adjustments in agents' beliefs. I characterize conditions under which the multiplier effect is strong and relate it to the … strength of strategic complementarities and the publicity multiplier emphasized in earlier work. Finally, I use the above …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189003
is subject to multiplier effects. We build upon the static case, where all agents receive a private signal about an … in the second period and learn about the public signal through a multiplier signal. We show that in the unique … information is thus considerably lower than the static case suggests. Multiplier effects might decrease overall welfare if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011459944
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947391
We apply the dynamic stochastic framework proposed by recent evolutionaryliterature to the class of strict supermodular games when two simplebehavior rules coexist in the population, imitation and myopic optimization.We assume that myopic optimizers are able to see how well their payoff...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302143
Can vanity do any good? It may seem obvious to answer this question in the negative, as economists have shown how reputational concerns lead agents e.g. to ignore valuable information, to herd, and to become overly risk averse. We explore how proud agents may be a social blessing. An agent may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327825
We study how subjects in an experiment use different forms of public information about their opponents' past behavior. In the absence of public information, subjects appear to use rather detailed statistics summarizing their private experiences. If they have additional public information, they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437784
The so-called El Farol problem describes a prototypical situation of interacting agents making binary choices to participate in a non-cooperative environment or to stay by themselves and choosing an outside option. In a much cited paper Arthur (1994) argues that persistent on-converging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487597
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842492
This paper is the first to use the WeChat platform, one of the largest social networks, to conduct an online experiment of artificial investment games. We investigate how people's forecasts about the financial market and investment decisions are shaped by whether they can observe others'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902965
We suggest that one individual holds multiple degrees of belief about an outcome, given the evidence. We then investigate the implications of such noisy probabilities for a buyer and a seller of binary options and find the odds agreed upon to ensure zero-expectation betting, differ from those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907302