understand possible economic outcome, this paper attempts to model and forecast GDP growth rate of India for the next 11 quarters … from Q2 of 2020 to Q4 of 2022. Using quarterly GDP data, Box-Jenkins methodology has been applied to forecast short … decline of GDP growth till the fourth quarter of 2022. However, the forecast made in this study is only indicative rather than …

research explores the use of SARIMAX, ARIMA, and Random Forest models to forecast GDP in the UK. The study investigates the … relationship between GDP and the unemployment rate, considering historical GDP and unemployment data. Both SARIMAX and ARIMA models … indicate a negative relationship between GDP and the unemployment rate, although the coefficients are not statistically …

may be attributed to a failure to incorporate a unique macroeconomic shock to unemployment during the pandemic. We propose …

Using U.S. real-time data, we show that changes in the unemployment rate unexplained by Okun's Law have significant … a change in potential GDP, the equilibrium unemployment rate, or the use of labor's intensive margin. …

forecast quite precisely the decrease in GDP during the financial crisis. It predicts a mean decline in GDP of 5.7% over the … next two quarters. Without additional growth stimulus, the GDP level forecast remains persistently 4% lower in the long run …. The uncertainty is large, as the 95% highest forecast density interval covers a decrease in GDP as large as 9%. A recovery …