Statistical methods are widely used for valuation (prediction of the value at sale or auction) of a unique object such as a work of art. The usual approach is estimation of a hedonic model for objects of a given class, such as paintings from a particular school or period, or in the context of...

We study return rates on art investment using a complete dataset on repeated sales for Old Master Paintings, Modern art and Contemporary art auctioned worldwide at Christie's and Sotheby's from 2000 to 2018. We show that return rates do not depend systematically on past prices or the place of...

During World War II, the art market experienced a massive boom in occupied countries. The discretion, the inflation proof character, the absence of market intervention and the possibility to resell artworks abroad have been suggested to explain why investing in artworks was one of the most...

This paper analyzes, on basis of an original database of close to 3 000 canvasses sold during the war in Drouot, the main French auction house, the evolution of the art market in occupied France. Based on hedonic regressions, it shows that by all standards the market experienced a massive boom....

By using a Cournot competition model this paper aims at determining prices, quantities and market power of the largest intermediaries in Mexico’s masterpieces paintings market. The main hypothesis is that those variables critically depend on the intermediaries´ strategies of product...

This paper identifies three 'folk' arguments for an intrinsic value implicit in the finance literature. The 'hindsight' argument states that if financial assets eventually have a value in the form of realised cash flows, then this reveals an intrinsic value that was always there. The...

This paper identifies three 'folk' arguments for an intrinsic value implicit in the finance literature. The 'hindsight' argument states that if financial assets eventually have a value in the form of realised cash flows, then this reveals an intrinsic value that was always there. The...

The record-breaking prices observed in the art market over the last three years raise the question of whether we are experiencing a speculative bubble. Given the difficulty to determine the fundamental value of artworks, we apply a right-tailed unit root test with forward recursive regressions...

While record-making prices at art auctions receive headline news coverage, artists typically do not receive any direct proceeds from those sales. Early-stage creative work in any field is perennially difficult to value, but the valuation, reward, and incentivization for artistic labor are...

This paper proposes a price index for modern andcontemporary paintings based on estimates and auctionprices. We use this index for the evaluation of theItalian art market and for comparisons with returns onother assets. During the period 1983–1994 art pricesincreased in line with inflation but...