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We use causal forests to evaluate the heterogeneous effects of the US-China trade war on China’s exports to the US. While the exports have decreased by 70% on average after the tariff, causal forests at the HS10 digit reveals that the effects range from -800% to +180%. The products that can be...
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The trade war initiated by the Trump administration is the largest since the US imposed the Smoot-Hawley tariffs in the …. Our results highlight the political salience of the trade war: US trade war tariffs boosted Trump’s support but foreign … retaliation hurt Trump. In particular, the pro-Trump effects of US trade war tariffs were crucial for Trump crossing the recount …
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including the Buenos Aires meeting in December 2017 failed to reach agreement. The US Trump Administration launched a campaign … to reform the WTO in 2018 and 2019. This book argues that the Trump Administration reform proposals have been much more …
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