The existing empirical literature on Taylor-type interest rate rules has failed to achieve a robust consensus. Indeed, the relatively common finding that the Taylor principle does not hold has fueled a degree of controversy in the field. We attribute these mixed estimation results to a raft of...

We apply the asymmetric ARDL model advanced by Shin, Yu and Greenwood-Nimmo (2009) to the analysis of the patterns of pass-through from policy-controlled interest rates to a variety of longer-term rates in the U.S. and Germany. Our results reveal three main phenomena. Firstly, while the effect...

The Financial Instability Hypothesis associated with Hyman Minsky has profound implications for the conduct of monetary policy in modern capitalist economies. At its core is the proposition that the central bank may contribute to the financial fragility of leveraged firms in its pursuit of...

We derive a new method of modelling the Taylor Rule in a system setting which expressly accounts for its combination of I(0) and I(1) series. Using a long sample of US data, our model provides modest support for an inertial Taylor-type rule. However, estimation across rolling windows indicates...

This paper develops a simple two-country stock-flow consistent model based on that of Godley and Lavoie (2007b). In order to motivate the use of stabilisation policies, persistent inflationary pressure and endogenous economic cycles are introduced into the model. Three scenarios are then...

Monetary theory typically assumes that the pass-through from policy-controlled interest rates to longer term rates and yields is complete, rapid and symmetric. We investigate these assumptions by applying the Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model advanced by Shin, Yu and Greenwood-Nimmo (2013) to the...