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We examine whether the publication of forecasts concerning the likely future conduct of monetary policy is socially desirable. Introducing a new central bank loss function that accounts for the deviations from announcements, we incorporate forecasts about future inflation and interest rates into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114233
We introduce a new type of incentive contract for central bankers: inflation forecast contracts, which make central bankers’ remunerations contingent on the precision of their inflation forecasts. We show that such contracts enable central bankers to influence inflation expectations more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084494
Evidence of the evolution of ideas on central bank transparency can be found in the central bankersÕ speeches during …: speeches define the historical evolution of central banksÕ discourses, and thus suggest how the concept of transparency has … evolved. The paper invites reconsideration of the role of central banksÕ transparency through analysis of central bankersÕ …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010783628
In this paper we investigate central bank accountability by looking at the effect of transparency in a simple monetary … banker's preferences for inflation stabilization relative to output stabilization. Transparency enhances the central bank …'s accountability. The paper shows that transparency leads to a lower expected rate of inflation and less stabilization of supply shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666712
Expectations regarding the economic development might be correlated due to various reasons: because individuals use the same public information and similar evaluation methods, and because of social learning or herding amongst peers. We analyse to what extent expectations are driven by herd...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010323816
explore whether central bank cheap talk, policy transparency, both cheap talk and policy transparency or economic transparency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580451
This paper analyses in a simple global games framework welfare effects stemming from different communication strategies of public agencies if strategies of agents are complementary to each other: communication can either be fully transparent, or the agency opaquely publishes only its overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269906
complements, for which case it has been argued that too much transparency might induce agents to neglect their private knowledge. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269917
desirable. We show that opacity may lead to the same equilibrium as transparency. However, additional equilibria may emerge … and its effects on inflation and output. In this case, transparency has ambiguous effects. It reduces output variance and … the distortions stemming from heterogeneous information. However, transparency generally raises the variance of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270301
It is argued in literature that transparency may be detrimental to welfare. Morris and Shin (2002) suggest reducing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496184