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framework, the South African Reserve Bank’s (SARB) understanding of monetary policy transmission and the transparency …, credibility and predictability of monetary policy. Quantitative indexes of transparency in 1994 and 2004 are compared and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661447
Inflation targeting is shown to imply inflation forecast targeting; the central bank’s inflation forecast becomes an explicit intermediate target. Inflation forecast targeting simplifies both implementation and monitoring of monetary policy. The weight on output stabilization determines how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661537
The paper discusses the institutional arrangements of a multilateral payments union for the Commonwealth of Independent States. It starts with an analysis of the risks of a non-cooperative solution, which would lead to serious liquidity and solvency problems and thus curtail inter-republican...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661562
A simple test of inflation target credibility is constructed by subtracting the maximum and minimum inflation rates consistent with the inflation targets from the yields to maturity on nominal bonds. This results in a target-consistent range of real yields on nominal bonds. If expected real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661572
This paper argues that exchange rate tensions delay future changes in the Fed's policy instrument, the federal funds rate. A shift in emphasis towards the exchange rate may conflict with the longer-term policy goals for the domestic economy. The Paper's objective is to consider empirically the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661586
The paper discusses alternative options for a future monetary order in the area of the Soviet Union. Its main focus is on two questions: Under what conditions would a common rouble currency area be compatible with fiscal discipline and effective financial control over the large numbers of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661619
The optimal policy response to a low-probability extreme event is examined. A simple policy problem is solved for a sequence of different loss functions: quadratic, combined quadratic/absolute-deviation, absolute-deviation, combined quadratic/constant, and perfectionist. The Paper shows that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661622
The present paper extends the literature on central bank transparency that relies on information heterogeneity among … depend on any particular social welfare criterion. Each extension sheds new light on the role of central bank transparency …. Focusing on the signaling role of the interest rate, we consider various degrees of transparency, ranging from full opacity, to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661638
We consider standard cash-in-advance monetary models and show that there are interest rate or money supply rules such that equilibria are unique. The existence of these single instrument rules depends on whether the economy has an infinite horizon or an arbitrarily large but finite horizon.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661665
Using a portfolio balance model of exchange rate determination, this paper develops a theoretical explanation of why central banks do not make precise announcements of their exchange rate targets. In foreign exchange markets, where it is common knowledge that the central bank intervenes to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661690