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This research examines the relations between government economic policy uncertainty and firm cash holdings and the value of cash. We find robust evidence that policy uncertainty is positively related to corporate cash holdings due to firms' precautionary motives and investment delays. Policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900881
The UK's decision to leave the EU in the 2016 referendum created substantial uncertainty for UK businesses. The nature of this uncertainty is different from that of a typical uncertainty shock because of its length, breadth and political complexity. Consequently, a new firm-level survey, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892721
Motivated by a theoretical model, we examine for 43 countries whether it is policy or policy uncertainty that affects technological innovation more. Innovation activities, measured by patent based proxies, are not, on average, affected by which policy is in place. Innovation activities however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973672
We use textual analysis to construct an index of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) for Greece from 1/1998 to 12/2017, similar to other international EPU indices. We also construct indices of political uncertainty (POLU) and economic uncertainty (EU), plus EPU sub-indices related to fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922825
We construct measures of uncertainty and its dispersion exploiting the heterogeneity of a large set of model predictions. The approach is forward-looking, can be computed in real-time, and can be applied at any frequency. We illustrate the methodology with expected shortfall predictions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213867
Building on Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016), I construct a monthly index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (GEPU) from January 1997. The GEPU Index is a GDP-weighted average of national EPU indices for 16 countries that account for two-thirds of global output. Each national EPU index reflects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981172
We use a major new survey of UK firms, the Decision Maker Panel, to assess the impact of the June 2016 Brexit referendum. We identify three key results. First, the UK's decision to leave the EU has generated a large, broad and long-lasting increase in uncertainty. Second, anticipation of Brexit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863862
We use a major new survey of UK firms, the Decision Maker Panel, to assess the impact of the June 2016 Brexit referendum. We identify three key results. First, the UK's decision to leave the EU has generated a large, broad and long-lasting increase in uncertainty. Second, anticipation of Brexit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864628
We empirically investigate the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on corporate cash holdings using a large sample of international firms. EPU intensifies concerns of investors on managerial self-dealing and political extraction. Consequently, the potential cost of cash holdings (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236540
This study finds that economic policy uncertainty (EPU) has different impacts on different categories of corporate environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance. EPU increases corporate governance quality, suggesting that good governance may serve as a hedge against adverse shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236554