In a context in which the framework of agricultural policy and business is changing radically the objective of the government and farmers should be to support the development of systems that look likely to be winners in the future. As a result this paper uses a Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) to...

This study tests the market timing theory (EMTT) in the Brazilian Stock Market. The study is an adaptation from the Baker and Wurgler's article (2002) that successfully tested the theory in the American Stock Market. The theory has not been proven in the Brazilian Market. The leverage decreases...

Detecting nonlinearity in financial time series is a key point when the main interest is to understand the generating process. One of the main tests for testing linearity in time series is the Hinich Bispectrum Nonlinearity Test (HINBIN). Although this test has been succesfully applied to a vast...

It is now recognised that long memory and structural change can be confused because the statistical properties of times series of lengths typical of financial and econometric series are similar for both models. We propose a new set of methods aimed at distinguishing between long memory and...

In this paper we consider the forecasting performance of a range of semi- and non- parametric methods applied to high frequency electricity price data. Electricity price time-series data tend to be highly seasonal, mean reverting with price jumps/spikes and time- and price-dependent volatility....

Detecting nonlinearity in financial time series is a key point when the main interest is to understand the generating process. One of the main tests for testing linearity in time series is the Hinich Bispectrum Nonlinearity Test (HINBIN). Although this test has been succesfully applied to a vast...

We derive nonparametric tests of symmetry using asymmetric kernels with either shrinkingor fixed bandwidths. We show how to extend the approach to examine conditional symmetry byderiving conditions under which our tests are applicable to residuals from semiparametric modelswith a (sufficiently...

We derive nonparametric tests of symmetry using asymmetric kernels with either shrinking or fixed bandwidths. We show how to extend the approach to examine conditional symmetry by deriving conditions under which our tests are applicable to residuals from semiparametric models with a...