This paper contributes to the literature on early warning indicators by applying a Bayesian model averaging approach. Our analysis, based on Austrian data, is carried out in two steps: First, we construct a quarterly financial stress index (AFSI) quantifying the level of stress in the Austrian...

In this study, we apply a rolling window approach to wavelet-filtered (denoised) S&P500 returns (2000–2020) to obtain time varying Hurst exponents. We analyse the dynamics of the Hurst exponents by applying statistical tests (e.g., for stationarity, Gaussianity and self-similarity), a...

Following the definition of systemic risk by the Financial Stability Board, the International Monetary Fund and the Bank for International Settlements, this paper proposes a method able to simultaneously address the two dimensions in which this risk materializes: namely the cross-sectional and...

Systemic Risk and Complex Networks in Modern Financial Systems -- Systemic Risk and Network Science: A Bibliometric and Systematic Review -- A Holistic Journey into Systemic Risk: Theoretical Background, Transmission Channels and Policy Implication -- Macro-prudential Policies to Mitigate...

"This book explores fractal structure and long-term memory of the financial markets to predict prices of financial assets and financial crisis. It identifies the criteria to select financial assets for investment and the creation of a randomized algorithm of R/S-analysis, which allows to give a...