We investigate an important question for institutional investors — namely, which hedge fund investing styles help to hedge against bad times? We define good versus bad times as (1) up and down equity market regimes derived from the 200-day moving average of the S&P 500 price index or (2)...

Using a large number of predictors and based on an extended iterated combination approach of Lin, Wu, and Zhou (2017), we document both statistical and economic significance of Treasury bond return predictability. Macroeconomic and aggregate liquidity variables contain predictive information for...

This paper conducts a comprehensive study on predicting the cross section of Chinese stock market returns with a large panel of 75 individual firm characteristics. We use not only the traditional Fama-MacBeth regression, but also “big-data” econometric methods: principal component analysis...

In this paper, we study investor sentiment in five major asset markets: stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and housing. Based on Thomson Reuter's sentiment measures extracted from 235 news and social media sources, we find that each market is predicted by its own sentiment. Cross-markets,...

Many anomalies are based on firm characteristics and are rebalanced yearly, ignoring any information during the year. In this paper, we provide dynamic trading strategies to rebalance the anomaly portfolios monthly. For eight major anomalies, we find that these dynamic trading strategies...

We link momentum and long-run return reversal to the cyclic behavior of firm fundamentals, which are represented by a fundamental index that summarizes succinctly and efficiently a broad range of business activities at firm level. In responding to repeated unanticipated positive (negative)...

Using a large hand-collected dataset, we provide novel evidence on the additional information embedded in the designs and graphs of financial reports. We find that firms that add graphic financial reports experience a positive 2.7% abnormal returns in the following 3 to 6 months. The finding...

We survey the literature on stock return forecasting, highlighting the challenges faced by forecasters as well as strategies for improving return forecasts. We focus on U.S. equity premium forecastability and illustrate key issues via an empirical application based on updated data. Some studies...

Recent empirical studies suggest that demand and supply factors have important effects on bond yields. Both market segmentation and preferred habitat hypothesis are used to explain these demand and supply effects. In this paper, we use an affine preferred-habitat term structure model and the...

Recent empirical studies suggest that demand and supply factors have important effects on bond yields. Both market segmentation and preferred habitat hypothesis are used to explain these demand and supply effects. In this paper, we use an affine preferred-habitat term structure model and the...