This paper presents a new robust predictor for option returns: the uncertainty of put-call parity violation (VVS). We find that the delta-hedged equity option return decreases monotonically with VVS. Although VVS is highly correlated with the classical uncertainty and limit-to-arbitrage...

This paper conducts a first look into the regulated Bitcoin options market in the United States. Compared to stock options, bitcoin options tend to be ten times more illiquid as measured by bid-ask spreads. The illiquidity significantly affects bitcoin options pricing: Given that investors are...

This paper conducts a first look into the regulated Bitcoin options market in the United States. We find bitcoin options to be ten times more illiquid than stock options, as measured by bid-ask spreads. The illiquidity significantly affects bitcoin options pricing: Given that investors are on...

This paper conducts a first look into the regulated Bitcoin options market in the United States. Compared to stock options, bitcoin options tend to be ten times more illiquid as measured by bid-ask spreads. The illiquidity significantly affects bitcoin options pricing: Given that investors are...

This paper presents a new model for the valuation of European options. In our model, the volatility of returns consists of two components. One of these components is a long-run component, and it can be modeled as fully persistent. The other component is short-run and has a zero mean. Our model...

Recent work by Engle and Lee (1999) shows that allowing for long-run and short-run components greatly enhances a GARCH model’s ability fit daily equity return dynamics. Using the risk-neutralization in Duan (1995), we assess the option valuation performance of the Engle-Lee model and compare...

This paper presents a new model for the valuation of European options, in which the volatility of returns consists of two components. One of these components is a long-run component, and it can be modeled as fully persistent. The other component is short-run and has a zero mean. Our model can be...

In this paper we analyze CBOE VIX futures price time series data from Mar. 2004 to Feb. 2008. We derive a new pricing framework for VIX futures that is convenient to study variance term structure dynamics. Our main contribution to existing literature is the identification of the number of...

Using no arbitrage principle, we derive a relationship between the drift term of risk-neutral dynamics for instantaneous variance and the term structure of forward variance curve. We show that the forward variance curve can be derived from options market. Based on the variance term structure, we...