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This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order … ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the cycle the estimation of the output gap is much more precise and …
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Over the last decades, the estimation of the slack in the economy has become an essential piece of analysis for … policymakers, both on the monetary policy and the fiscal policy front. Output gap estimation techniques have flourished accordingly …
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The paper assesses the impact of adding information on financial cycles on the output gap estimates for eight advanced economies using two unobserved components models: a reduced form extended Hodrick-Prescott filter, and a standard semi-structural unobserved components model. To complement...
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