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Extreme value theory (EVT) focuses on modeling the tail behavior of a loss distribution using only extreme values rather than the whole data set. For a sample of 10 countries with dirty/free float regimes, we investigate whether paired currencies exhibit a pattern of asymptotic dependence. That...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871832
The existence of feedback effects between volatility and institutional investor holdings has been extensively studied for the United States. This article contributes to the literature by investigating this issue for Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) in Chile. To this end, data on PFAs' holdings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744127
We apply linear and non-linear Granger causality tests to four U.S. price indices and 31 commodity series, which expand a 54-year period (January 1957–December 2011). We find evidence of linear Granger causality mostly from individual commodities to price indices. The latter, however, seem to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011066024
Copula modeling has become an increasingly popular tool in finance to model assets returns dependency. In essence, copulas enable us to extract the dependence structure from the joint distribution function of a set of random variables and, at the same time, to isolate such dependence structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589510
In this article, we study the behavior of the stock prices of a subset of eight U.S. industries from the late 1800's to the Great Depression. In particular, we focus on the potential presence of volatility shifts, the persistence of volatility, and on the degree of co-movement of stock returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590708
We analyze the implications for portfolio management of accounting for conditional heteroskedasticity and sudden changes in volatility, based on a sample of weekly data of the Dow Jones Country Titans, the CBT-municipal bond, spot and futures prices of commodities for the period 1992–2005. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590736
Testing for the existence of downward trends in real commodity prices has been the focus of several studies since the Prebisch–Singer hypothesis was formulated back in 1950. In this article, we focus on annual and monthly series of various commodity categories and consider alternative price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010578064
The finance literature has extensively documented the role of debt in influencing corporate investment decisions. This study focuses on testing two well-known hypotheses—on underinvestment and overinvestment—in three emerging countries: Chile, Brazil, and Mexico during the period 1997-2006....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010612821
Using monthly industrial sector data from January 1971 to March 2004, we test for business cycles convergence among the major APEC members: Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Mexico, USA, and Canada. In addition, we examine the synchronization of business cycles among Australia, Japan, and South...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009477142
In this article, we formulate a time-scale decomposition of an international version of the CAPM that accounts for both market and exchange rate risk. In addition, we derive an analytical formula for time-scale value at risk (VaR) and time-scale marginal VaR of a portfolio. We apply our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966223