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volatility of primary commodity prices-metals are no exception. Recent events have led experts to believe that trends have been … for many countries. However, estimating the underlying trend has proven to be difficult, given the persistence and … trends over certain lengths of time remains a contentious issue. We combine robust econometric procedures to calculate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265553
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014251874
metal price series is investigated, as well as time-varying volatility. The results demonstrate that allowing for jumps and … time-varying volatility provides statistically important improvements in the modelling or prices, relative to GBM. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038566
The study proposes an alternative modelling specification for the real prices of gold and silver that allows the long run trend and cyclical behaviour to be modelled simultaneously by incorporating two differencing parameter in a fractional integration framework. However, we also consider the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272165
We examine the effect of pandemics on selected commodity prices-in particular, those of zinc, copper, lead, and oil. We set up a vector autoregressive model and analyse data since the mid-nineteenth century to determine how prices reacted to pandemics such as the 1918 Spanish Flu, 1957 Asian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424144
We examine the effect of pandemics on selected commodity prices-in particular, those of zinc, copper, lead, and oil. We set up a vector autoregressive model and analyse data since the mid-nineteenth century to determine how prices reacted to pandemics such as the 1918 Spanish Flu, 1957 Asian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012320991
This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities … functions, the response of volatility of each commodity to an oil price shock differs significantly depending on the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451175
vary according to whether they are in low or high volatility regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526115
This study investigates the effects of oil price shocks on volatility of selected agricultural and metal commodities … functions, the response of volatility of each commodity to an oil price shock differs significantly depending on the underlying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011438674
vary according to whether they are in low or high volatility regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479769